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Publications and Reports

Complete Bibliography

Publications are listed by year. Citation entries for selected publications may contain links to selected abstracts and publications available online. (* denotes a non-NCAR author)

2013 2012 2011

2013

Demuth, J.L., R. Morss, J.K. Lazo, and D.C. Hilderbrand, 2013: Improving effectiveness of weather risk communication on the NWS point-and-click web page. Weather and Forecasting, 28, 711-726, DOI: 10.1175/WAF-D-12-00118.1

2012

Stewart, A.E., J.K. Lazo, R.E. Morss, and J.L. Demuth, 2012: The relationship of weather salience with the perceptions and uses of weather information in a nationwide sample of the United States. Weather, Climate, and Society, 4, 172–189, DOI: 10.1175/WCAS-D-11-00033.1.

Lazrus, H., B.H. Morrow, R.E. Morss, and J.K. Lazo, 2012: Vulnerability beyond stereotypes: Context and agency in hurricane risk communication. Weather, Climate, and Society, 4, 103-109, DOI: 10.1175/WCAS-D-12-00015.1.

Demuth, J., R.E. Morss, B.H. Morrow, and J.K. Lazo, 2012: Creation and communication of hurricane risk information. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 1133-1145, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00150.1.

2011

Demuth, J., J.K. Lazo, and R. Morss, 2011: Exploring variations in people's sources, uses, and perceptions of weather forecasts. Weather, Climate, and Society, 3(3): 177-192.

Lazo, J.K., and D.M. Waldman, 2011: Valuing improved hurricane forecasts. Economics Letters, 111, 43-46, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2010.12.012.

Lazo, J.K., M. Lawson, P.H. Larsen, and D. M. Waldman, 2011: Sensitivity of the U.S. economy to weather variability. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 92.

Morss, R. E., O. V. Wilhelmi, G. A. Meehl, and L. Dilling, 2011: Improving societal outcomes of extreme weather in a changing climate: An integrated perspective.  Annual Review of Environment and Resources, in press.

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2010

Laidlaw, E. K. The Controversy Over Outdoor Warning Sirens. Weatherwise. 63, 16-25.

Lazo, J.K., J.S. Rice, and M.L. Hagenstad, 2010: Benefits of Investing in a Supercomputer to Support Weather Forecasting Research: An Example of Benefit Cost Analysis. Yuejiang Academic Journal. 1, 1-22.

Morss, R. E., and M. H. Hayden, 2010: Storm surge and “certain death”: Interviews with Texas coastal residents following Hurricane Ike. Weather, Climate, and Society, 2, 174-189.

Morss, R. E., 2010: Interactions among flood predictions, decisions, and outcomes: A synthesis of three cases.  Natural Hazards Review, 11, 83-96.

Morss, R. E., J.K. Lazo, and J. L. Demuth. Examining the use of weather forecasts in decision scenarios: Results from a U.S. survey with implications for uncertainty communication. Meteorological Applications. 17, 149–162.

National Research Council Committee on Progress and Priorities of U.S. Weather Research and Research-to-Operations Activities (including R. E. Morss), 2010: When Weather Matters: Science and Service to Meet Critical Societal Needs.  The National Academies Press, 208 pp.
http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=12888

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2009

Demuth, J.L., *B.H. Morrow, J.K. Lazo. Weather Forecast Uncertainty Information: An Exploratory Study with Broadcast Meteorologists. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 90, 1614–1618.

*Gladwin, H., J.K. Lazo, *B.H. Morrow, *W.G. Peacock, *H.E. Willoughby. Social Science Research Needs for the Hurricane Forecast and Warning System. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 90, 25–29.

Lazo, J.K., R. E. Morss, and J. L. Demuth, 2009: 300 Billion Served: Sources, Perceptions, Uses, and Values of
Weather Forecasts. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 90, 785–798.

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2008

Lazo, J.K., N. F. Bushek, E. K. Laidlaw, *R. S. Raucher, *T. J. Teisberg, *C. J. Wagner, and *R. F.Weiher, 2008: Economic valuation and application of services. World Meteorological Organization Bulletin, 57, 222-228.

Lazo, J.K., *R. S. Raucher, *T. T. Teisberg, *C. J. Wagner and *R. F. Weiher, 2008: Primer on Economics for National Meteorological and Hydrological Services. Sponsored by World Meteorological Organization Voluntary Cooperation Program, managed by the National Weather Service International Activities Office and National Center for Atmospheric Research, 53 pp.

*Morrow, B. H., J. L. Demuth, and J. K. Lazo, 2008: Communicating weather forecast uncertainty: An exploratory study with broadcast meteorologists. Report to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration conducted in support of the AMS Ad Hoc Committee on Uncertainty in Forecasts, 28 pp.

Morss, R. E., J. Demuth, and J. K. Lazo, 2008: Communicating uncertainty in weather forecasts: A survey of the U.S. Public. Weather and Forecasting, 23, 974–991.

Morss, R. E., and *F. Zhang, 2008: Linking meteorological education to reality: A prototype undergraduate research study of public response to Hurricane Rita forecasts. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 89, 497-504.

Morss, R. E., J. K. Lazo, B. G. Brown, *H. E. Brooks, *P. T. Ganderton, and *B. N. Mills, 2008: Societal and economic research and applications for weather forecasts: Priorities for the North American THORPEX program. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 89, 335–346.

*Smith, P.L., *J.F. Davis, *E. Im, J.K. Lazo, *D. McLaughlin, *R. Palmer, *S.A. Rutledge, *S. Sandgathe, *R.J. Serafin, *M.M. Wolfson. 2008. Evaluation of the Multifunction Phased Array Radar Planning Process. Committee on the Evaluation of the Multifunction Phased Array Radar Planning Process; National Research Council. Washington, DC.

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2007

Demuth, J. L., *E. Gruntfest, R. E. Morss, *S. Drobot, and J. K. Lazo, 2007: Weather and Society*Integrated Studies (WAS*IS): Building a community for integrating meteorology and social science. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 88, 1729-1737.

Gladwin, H., J.K. Lazo, B. Morrow, W.G. Peacock, H. Willoughby, 2007: Social Science Research Needs for the Hurricane Forecast and Warning System: An Introduction. Natural Hazards Review, 8: 87-95.

Lazo, J.K. 2007. “Economics of Weather Impacts and Weather Forecasts.” Secure and Sustainable Living: The Societal and Economic Benefits of Weather, Climate and Water Products and Services, Madrid 2007, WMO.

Lazo, J.K. and W.G. Peacock. 2007. “Social Science Research Needs for the Hurricane Forecast and Warning System: An Introduction.” Natural Hazards Review. 8(3):43-44.

Lazo, J.K., *T.J. Teisberg, and *R.F. Weiher. 2007. “Methodologies for Assessing Economic Benefits of National Meteorological and Hydrological Services.” Secure and Sustainable Living: The Societal and Economic Benefits of Weather, Climate and Water Products and Services, Madrid 2007, WMO.

*Letson, D., *D. Sutter, J.K. Lazo. 2007. “The Economic Value of Hurricane Forecasts: An Overview and Research Needs.” Natural Hazards Review. 8(3):78-86.

Morss, R. E., and *E. Wahl, 2007: An ethical analysis of prediction and decision making: The case of the Red River flood of 1997. Environmental Hazards, 7, 342-352.

Morss, R. E., and *F. M. Ralph, 2007: Use of information by National Weather Service forecasters and emergency managers during CALJET and PACJET-2001. Weather and Forecasting, 22, 539-555.

*Rogers, D.P., *Y. Adebayo, *C. Clarke, *S.J. Connor, *R. DeGuzman, *P. Dexter, *L. Dubus, *J. Guddal, *L. Jalkanen, *A. Korshunov, J.K. Lazo, *H. Puempel, *V. Smetanina, *B. Stewart, *Tang X., *V. Tsirkunov, *S. Ulatov, *P-Y. Whung, and *D.A. Wilhite. 2007. “Deriving Societal and Economic Benefits from Meteorological and Hydrological Services.” WMO Bulletin.

*Zhang, F., R. E. Morss, *J. A. Sippel, *T. K. Beckman, *N. C. Clements, *N. L. Hampshire, *J. N. Harvey, *J. M. Hernandez, *Z. C. Morgan, *R. M. Mosier, *S. Wang, and *S. D. Winkley, 2007: An in-person survey investigating public perceptions of and responses to Hurricane Rita forecasts along the Texas Coast. Weather and Forecasting, 22, 1177-1190.

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2006

National Research Council, 2006: Completing the Forecast: Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty for Better Decisions Using Weather and Climate Forecasts. The National Academies Press, 124 pp.

Glantz, M. H., *L. M. Cavanaugh, R. E. Morss, *E. Gruntfest, and J. Tribbia, 2006: Will recent “super” storms lead to seasons of superstorms? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 87, 1173-1174.

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2005

Downton, M. W., R. E. Morss, O. V. Wilhelmi, E. C. Gruntfest, and M. L. Higgins, 2005: Interactions between scientific uncertainty and flood management decisions: Two case studies in Colorado.  Environmental Hazards, 6, 134-136.

Hacker, J., J. Hansen, J. Berner, Y. Chen, G. Eshel, G. Hakim, S. Lazarus, S. Majumdar, R. Morss, A. Poje, V. Sheremet, Y. Tang, and C. Webb, 2005: Future scientific directions: Predictability.  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 86, 1733-1737.

Morss, R. E., O. V. Wilhelmi, M. W. Downton, and E. Gruntfest, 2005: Flood risk, uncertainty, and scientific information for decision-making: Lessons from an interdisciplinary project.  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 86, 1593-1601.

Morss, R. E., and W. H. Hooke, 2005: The outlook for U.S. meteorological research in a commercializing world: Fair early, but clouds moving in? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 86, 921–936.

Morss, R. E., 2005: Science fiction, science fact, and society: Meteorology in recent popular film and fiction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 86, 691-694.

Morss, R. E., K. A. Miller, and M. S. Vasil, 2005: A systematic economic approach to evaluating public investment in observations for weather forecasting.  Monthly Weather Review, 133, 374–388.

Morss, R. E., 2005: Problem definition in atmospheric science public policy: The example of observing system design for weather prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 86, 181–191.

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